Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.054502 0.059095 0.063741 0.068783 0.074094 0.079516 0.085461
2025-04-06 0.047045 0.053757 0.060782 0.068656 0.077208 0.086189 0.096308
2025-04-13 0.042569 0.050928 0.059939 0.070314 0.081869 0.094282 0.108566
2025-04-20 0.037535 0.046932 0.057350 0.069649 0.083659 0.099017 0.117017
2025-04-27 0.034002 0.044260 0.055924 0.069998 0.086347 0.104577 0.126275
2025-05-04 0.031572 0.042618 0.055464 0.071265 0.089931 0.111048 0.136506
2025-05-11 0.029981 0.041810 0.055846 0.073400 0.094439 0.118534 0.147897
2025-05-18 0.026294 0.038149 0.052559 0.070940 0.093344 0.119365 0.151467
2025-05-25 0.023996 0.036064 0.051046 0.070486 0.094521 0.122769 0.157973
2025-06-01 0.021968 0.034179 0.049653 0.070062 0.095637 0.126029 0.164261
2025-06-08 0.021233 0.033945 0.050313 0.072171 0.099843 0.133001 0.175005
2025-06-15 0.020242 0.033289 0.050367 0.073467 0.103014 0.138711 0.184248
2025-06-22 0.019098 0.032386 0.050092 0.074364 0.105750 0.143996 0.193136
2025-06-29 0.017633 0.030939 0.049018 0.074168 0.107067 0.147527 0.199906
2025-07-06 0.016967 0.030600 0.049412 0.075885 0.110830 0.154110 0.210467
2025-07-13 0.015529 0.029026 0.048029 0.075168 0.111401 0.156675 0.216057
2025-07-20 0.014556 0.028088 0.047480 0.075528 0.113342 0.160950 0.223774
2025-07-27 0.013961 0.027689 0.047660 0.076859 0.116547 0.166827 0.233513
2025-08-03 0.013679 0.027761 0.048506 0.079106 0.120976 0.174291 0.245290
2025-08-10 0.012045 0.025554 0.045940 0.076514 0.118874 0.173321 0.246375
2025-08-17 0.011111 0.024430 0.044912 0.076035 0.119570 0.175932 0.251989
2025-08-24 0.010256 0.023375 0.043939 0.075588 0.120276 0.178534 0.257583
2025-08-31 0.010108 0.023534 0.044814 0.077810 0.124651 0.185960 0.269410